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Women drove 98% of US job gains in August, data shows

The US labour market added 162,000 jobs in August, with women accounting for 98% of the increase, a development that could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.

Graph showing US job gains by gender in August 2024

Job growth in August

The United States added 162,000 jobs in August, far exceeding most economists' forecasts of around 55,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Of those new positions, women filled 158,000 roles, representing roughly 98% of the net increase in payroll employment. Men, by contrast, saw an increase of about 4,000 jobs.

Why the gender split matters

Although the figures are striking, some analysts urge caution. Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, described the month-to-month gender swing as "noisy" and warned against drawing broad conclusions from a single data point.

"I think there's been way too much focus on the month to month, is it men gaining jobs or women? That moves around a lot," Long told EuroHerald.

Nevertheless, the August data adds to a longer-term shift in the American workforce. Earlier this year, women overtook men in total payroll employment for the third time in history, a change now seen as structural rather than crisis-driven. Female-dominant sectors such as health care and hospitality continue to expand, while traditionally male-heavy industries like manufacturing show little growth.

In August, women added around 68,000 jobs in leisure and hospitality, a sector that overall grew by 62,000, meaning men actually lost about 6,000 positions there. Similar patterns appeared in other service industries, where women accounted for more than 100% of net job growth because male employment fell.

Long highlighted health care as a key post-pandemic driver, noting that women are highly represented in that field and also earn more college degrees than men, positioning them well for growth in professional occupations.

The surge was also powered by seasonal hiring in education and food service. Local government education added 42,000 jobs, while food service and drinking places contributed 59,000, together accounting for 62% of all August job creation. The rise in education jobs reversed a typical summer decline, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics noted that employment in that sector has shown little net change since early 2025.

What the data could mean for monetary policy

Despite the strong payroll numbers, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1% and wage growth remained modest, rising only 0.3% on the month and 3.1% year-on-year, the slowest annual pace in recent years.

Financial markets reacted quickly. The odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September rose to 52.6% from 49.4% the day before, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. Two-year Treasury yields increased by 7.6 basis points to 4.41%, while the 10-year yield moved to 4.792%.

"An upside surprise in payrolls will likely ramp up concerns about a rate hike," said Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. She added that the Fed's decision will also depend on next week's inflation report; a cooler reading could allow the central bank to maintain the current policy rate, whereas stronger inflation could prompt a hike.

Overall, the August labour report underscores the volatility of US employment statistics and highlights the growing influence of women in the economy, a trend that may shape both corporate hiring strategies and central bank policy in the months ahead.